Showing posts with label secretary. Show all posts
Showing posts with label secretary. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 15, 2014

What Saeed Adedini's case says about US Legitimacy


            One of the roles of the State Department is the protection of Americans living and traveling abroad. John Kerry, as Secretary of State is the head of this agency.
            Yet in September of 2012 the State Department failed to accomplish this protection as Ambassador Chris Stevens, and four other Americans were gunned down in Benghazi under the watch of then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Unfortunately again the Department and John Kerry are again failing to protect Americans abroad as the plight of Saeed Adedini, an imprisoned American in Iran, goes unheeded. As nuclear negotiations with Iran are set to move forward, Saeed has been left behind in a dangerous third world prison. Saeed's imprisonment and treatment (including torture) are violations of human rights--and he is not the only one in this situation as several other Americans are also imprisoned.
            If the current negotiations with Iran (headed by Mr. Kerry) cannot include the release of one or two American prisoners then one must wonder just how effect those negotiations are. John Kerry believes he can negotiate the cessation of Iran’s illicit nuclear activities. If he cannot, or will not advocate for the release of at least one American what makes the world believe he can negotiate a nuclear treaty? What is easier to accomplish: the negotiation of the release of a few Americans, or the negotiation of the cessation and dismantlement of an entire secretive and illegal nuclear program?
            Conversely, if Iran continues to refuse Saeed’s release and humane treatment then this suggests there is little reason to trust that they will do something that demands more effort--as in the wholesale disassembly of their uranium centrifuges. Again, what is easier to do? Release a few political dissidents, or shut down an entire uranium enrichment program?
            This suggests that neither John Kerry nor the Iranians have any legitimacy at the negotiating table. It is likely Kerry either  will not or cannot accomplish the release of Saeed. He is either powerless to do so, or willfully weak on the issue. There will likely be no consequences for Iran’s illegal detention and torture of Saeed, yet Kerry would have the world believe that he bears the power to coerce a jihadist and terrorist sponsoring state to bend its nuclear will to the international community. Yet all the while Kerry has been part of an administration that is rolling back sanctions on Iran in exchange for nothing at all. In light of this and recent events in Syria, the idea of enforceable consequences is somewhat laughable.
            Likewise, Iran itself is also lacking in legitimacy with its human rights failures, and willful violations of Saeed’s human rights. Iran’s suppression of its own people and press, anti-Semitic rhetoric, Holocaust denial, and carte blanche funding of terrorism in Syria and Lebanon utterly shred any semblance of a notion that the nation would comply to a nuclear standard. There have been increasingly few consequences for their other sins. In the face of a weak and compromising administration, what have they to fear for their current sins?
Iran’s leadership already believes it is more powerful than the United States leadership, and has said as much. Given the recent method of “red lines without consequences” as embraced by the US, their bravado is somewhat warranted. As Saeed is still imprisoned and the uranium centrifuges keep spinning, the United States is woefully (and perhaps willfully) powerless to stop either evil from continuing on its merry way.

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

"I know what you did in Libya this summer..."

Libya…simplified

            In todays world news is updated by the second, and with multiple stories flying through the internet on a minute-by-minute basis it’s easy to lose track.
One of the most important stories of the month, and of the year (in terms of the election and foreign policy) is of course the mess in Libya. The following is a time line approach to the Libyan events with a few thoughts on how and why certain events happened. It is my firm belief that the average voter does not understand what happened or why it’s significant or what it means. So let’s start at the beginning—not September 11, but in the days and weeks leading up to the attack.
Each note will have a source link for verification.

April/May/June: The US Consulate in Benghazi, Libya is targeted by Islamic terrorists. The House Intelligence Committee chair says the consulate was targeted for an IED attack. 3

June 6: An IED is thrown at the American Consulate in Benghazi.3, 12
June 11: The British Ambassador is the target in an RPG attack3, 12

July, and August 2012: American Ambassador to Libya Christopher Stevens writes in his journal about his concerns over security threats, possible attacks, and being on an Al-Qaeda hitlist.1, 16 These fears proved to be well-founded in light of events in June and early August. (See also 12).

August 5: The Red Cross building in Benghazi is struck by an RPG attack.3

September 8: Libyan officials meet with the American diplomats in Benghazi, Libya, and warn them that the situation there is “deteriorating” and “frightening”. 2 Officials later say that this wasn’t the first time they warned Americans about impending attacks.2

September 10: Obama appears on The Late Show with David Letterman.6

September 11: Around 4 PM local time the US Embassy in Cairo is stormed by protestors and the American flag is taken down and possibly burned. It is replaced by the black flag of Islam.9

The compound in Benghazi is attacked. News outlets report that witnesses say the compound was quiet before the attack: there were no protestors.8, 16 President Obama is briefed an hour and a half after the attack begins. The ambassador is missing during the attack. President Obama goes to bed while his ambassador’s fate is unknown.4

The Libyan guard at the gate is armed with a radio and the attackers with machine guns and RPGs. The compound is eventually set on fire.5

September 11/12: The Ambassador Stevens is discovered alive—though just barely—and taken to a hospital by looters going through the US Consulate.2 (video)
The ambassador dies either en route or possibly later at the hospital. A Lebanese news outlet reports that he had been raped and dragged through the streets. This is still neither confirmed nor debunked.7

September 11/12: Around 12-2 A.M. another attack is made on remaining American personnel in the compound. The attack is described as “complex . . . sophisticated . . . an ambush.” It is suspected that during this attack the two American security personnel, Tyrone Woods and Glen Doherty are killed. By 6:30 A.M. the evacuation of American personnel is complete.8

September 12: WH Press Secretary Jay Carney is asked, “Why did the President feel it was so important to continue with his campaign schedule today?” Carney insists the President is receiving briefings on the road from the intelligence community he travels with.18

September 13: Obama cancels intel briefing as the riots continue and heads to Las Vegas for a fundraiser.9 Some information persists that the President did not often attend intel briefings in the days leading up to the attack, but it is highly unlikely that said information could or would be confirmed or debunked. One fact remains: the spokesman for the National Security Council, Tommy Vietor refused to answer whether the president has attended any of his daily briefings since September 5.9

September 14: Senate Armed Services Chairman Carl Levin (D-Mich.) and Senator John McCain both call the attack, “planned” and “premeditated”.12 McCain added that, "People don't go to demonstrate and carry RPGs and automatic weapons," he said, adding that the facts suggest "this was not a 'mob' action [or] a group of protesters."12

CNN Reports State Department Under Secretary Patrick Kennedy alluded to the attack being preplanned by the amount of light and medium weaponry on the scene.
The site reported that the remarks had been made earlier in the week (IE the 12th or 13th).20

The same day, WH Press Secretary Jay Carny says there was no intelligence suggesting an attack, and “we have no information to suggest that it was a preplanned attack.”13 Carney blames the Innocence of Muslims video as what “sparked” the outcry. When asked if they would apologize for the video Carney says, “Absolutely not . . . we have said we find it offensive and reprehensible, but we will not -- we cannot and will not squelch freedom of expression in this country.”
Carney takes one final question that unfolds as follows:

Q:    Jay, one last question -- while we were sitting here -- Secretary Panetta and the Vice Chair of the Joint Chiefs briefed the Senate Armed Services Committee.  And the senators came out and said their indication was that this, or the attack on Benghazi was a terrorist attack organized and carried out by terrorists, that it was premeditated, a calculated act of terror.  Levin said -- Senator Levin -- I think it was a planned, premeditated attack.  The kind of equipment that they had used was evidence it was a planned, premeditated attack.  Is there anything more you can -- now that the administration is briefing senators on this, is there anything more you can tell us?

MR. CARNEY:  Well, I think we wait to hear from administration officials.  Again, it's actively under investigation, both the Benghazi attack and incidents elsewhere.  And my point was that we don't have and did not have concrete evidence to suggest that this was not in reaction to the film.

Carney does not use the word “terrorist” in his answer—or much at all in relation to the attacks during the course of the Q&A session.

September 16: US Ambassador to the UN, Susan Rice is hosted on CBS’ Face the Nation. She repeatedly calls the attack “spontaneous” and said, “We do not have information at present that leads us to conclude that this was premeditated or preplanned.”10

On the same program, the president of Libya’s General National said, “The way these perpetrators acted and moved, and their choosing the specific date for this so-called demonstration, this leaves us with no doubt that this was preplanned, predetermined.”10

On Fox News Sunday, Susan Rice tells Chris Wallace that, “"a spontaneous incident."
"The best information we have today is that in fact this was not a premeditated attack," Rice said.15

50 Arrests are made in relation to the death of Ambassador Stevens by the Libyan government.27


September 17: State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland declined to label the strike. "I don't think we know enough," she said. "And we're going to continue to assess ... and then we'll be in a better position to put labels on things, OK?" 17

It’s reported that mortars were used in the strike on the compound and/or safe houses.14

September 18: WH Press Secretary refuses to say that there was enough (or not enough) security for the consulate in Banghazi.14 His answer is “They were numerous steps taken, as there have been every year on the anniversary of 9/11, and as there have been at different times on the calendar when it is judged by the experts that taking additional steps, security steps, is the right thing to do.”14
However Ambassador Stevens was known to “travel with a relatively small security detail.” 14 (Note how many Americans were killed, including the Ambassador. If the security team were say 10 men strong, it’s certain more would have been killed. There is some evidence suggesting that two other Americans (Woods and Doherty) were perhaps killed at a different time and location than Stevens.8 Does this leave just one man protecting Stevens?)

September 19: Counterterrorism Center Director Matt Olsen called the strike in Libya a “terrorist attack”.17 Up until this day not one official has called the strike a “terrorist attack”.17 He also referred to Al-Qaeda as possibly being involved.19 (This seems to be significant because in the Senate hearing video I saw, Olsen was asked about this with a certain level of redundancy).

September 20: White House Press Secretary Jay Carney finally calls the events in Libya a terrorist attack—9 days later.11

Carney has this exchange with reporters:
Q    Can you -- have you called it a terrorist attack before?  Have you said that?

MR. CARNEY:  I haven’t, but -- I mean, people attacked our embassy.  It’s an act of terror by definition.

Q    Yes, I just hadn’t heard you --

MR. CARNEY:  It doesn’t have to do with what date it occurred.

Q    No, I just hadn’t heard the White House say that this was an act of terrorism or a terrorist attack.  And I just --

MR. CARNEY:  I don’t think the fact that we hadn’t is not -- as our NCTC Director testified yesterday, a number of different elements appear to have been involved in the attack, including individuals connected to militant groups that are prevalent in eastern Libya, particularly in the Benghazi area.  We are looking at indications that individuals involved in the attack may have had connections to al Qaeda or al Qaeda’s affiliates, in particular al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb.

He also pointed out that -- I’ll point out as well -- that the FBI investigation into this tragedy is ongoing, but according to the best information we have now, we believe it was an opportunistic attack on our mission in Benghazi.  It appears that some well-armed militants seized on the opportunity as the events unfolded that evening.  We do not have any specific intelligence that there was significant advanced planning or coordination for this attack.

September 22: One investigator tells a news outlet that the consulate was “staked out” and “monitored” before the attack—further discrediting the narrative that the attack was spontaneous. Reports of betrayal by Libyan security forces also emerge. 19

September 23: Obama speaks on 60 Minutes, calling recent events in the Middle East, “bumps in the road”.21 The four Americans have been buried less than two weeks.

The attack in Libya is called a huge setback for intel efforts in the region, and “a catastrophic intelligence loss”.22

September 24: 50 detainess are cleared to leave Gitmo. Word surfaces that the attack may be been planned by ex-gitmo detainee. 26

September 25: Senators demand that Sec of State Clinton show them the last messages (aka “cables”) from Ambassador Stevens.23

Obama addresses the General Assembly of the UN saying that, “The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam.”24
After repeatedly of blaming “the video” for the attacks and having his staff blame the video, the President said it should be “marginalized” by being “ignored.”25

September 26: NBC airs an exclusive interview with Libyan President Mohamed Magarief. Magarief says the video (which the Obama Administration constantly blames) had  "nothing to do with" the attack on the US consulate.28

Cited Sources:
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